The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens cover image

Roger Pielke Jr: "Understanding the Origins of Climate Models"

The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens

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How to Create a Probability Distribution of Temperature in Your Mind

Roger Pilke: If you had to create a probability distribution of temperature relative to pre-industrial average in the year 2100, I would assign zero confidence. He says it's far more important to figure out how do we start this long-term journey rather than howDo we finish it? "It's just kind of a ridiculous effort," he says.

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