Daniel Kahneman on Cutting Through the Noise
Conversations with Tyler
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Can Prediction Markets Reduce Bias and Noise?
There are mikes on each side. I will call on you, and please, questions only. If you start making a long speech or statement, i will cut you off. We now have some time for questions. Please get in line if you would like to start with the questions here. Our first question is could prediction markets reduce both bias and noise? Well, noise certainly. But then averaging does it? And whether prediction markets consistently beats averaging is not yet fully established.
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