21min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Two things shape the course of your life: luck and your decisions (with Annie Duke)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

Exploring Decision-making Beyond Pros and Cons Lists

The chapter delves into the limitations of traditional pros and cons lists in decision-making, highlighting how they can be influenced by bias and fail to consider the magnitude and probability of outcomes. It emphasizes the importance of understanding expected value, risk, and uncertainty in decision-making processes, using examples like bet sizing, climbing Mount Everest, and choosing between different options to illustrate these concepts.

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