Navigating Uncertainty: The Role of Scenario Planning

This chapter delves into the significance of scenario planning for organizations, emphasizing its necessity for effective crisis response and strategic foresight. It highlights the internal challenges faced by the Coast Guard and contrasts the adaptability of tech companies with traditional industries in the face of unforeseen disruptions. The discussion underscores the lessons learned from past crises, such as 9/11 and the pandemic, urging companies to embrace evolving mental models to successfully navigate complex future scenarios.