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Bill Gebhardt - Replicating Discretionary Commodity Trading Systematically (S7E9)

Flirting with Models

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Evolution from Discretionary to Systematic Trading in Energy Markets

The guest discusses transitioning from a discretionary trading approach to a systematic strategy in energy markets, focusing on trend-following models and trading frequencies. They emphasize the importance of balancing long-term trend positioning and short-term risk management to achieve optimal returns while controlling drawdowns. The chapter also explores the trade-offs between using short-term signals for risk management, incorporating time analysis for market psychology shifts, and the choice between binary and continuous signals in trend following programs.

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