
Preparing for the Fall
Macro Horizons
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Analysis of the August Employment Situation Report and Predictions for the Unemployment Rate
This chapter discusses the findings of the August employment situation report, including the headline payrolls figure, revisions to job gains, average hourly earnings, unemployment rate, and the impact of the Fed's monetary policy tightening. It predicts a potential increase in the unemployment rate in the future and highlights the spike in unemployment among 16-19-year-olds due to end-of-summer labor redistribution.
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