TIP146: Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Predicting (Business Podcast)
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Superforecasting: The Art of Accurate Predictions
This chapter explores the concept of superforecasting and the characteristics that separate individuals who can make accurate predictions from others. It discusses the challenges of forecasting and highlights the backgrounds of superforecasters, who are able to succeed without specialized training.
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
- The right framework for making correct forecasts.
- How to prevent confirmation bias for your investments.
- Why financial experts are storytellers rather than forecasters.
- How and why the best investors constantly change their opinion.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
- Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, and the other community members.
- Dan Gardner and Philip Tetlock’s book, Superforcasting – Read reviews of this book.
- Preston, and Stig’s interview with investing legend Ed Thorp.
- Preston and Stig’s interview with well-renown value investor Guy Spier.
- Preston and Stig’s interview with Dr. Robert Cialdini.
- Preston and Stig’s discussion on Nassim Taleb’s book The Black Swan.
NEW TO THE SHOW?
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- Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.
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