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Jim Rickards | Can Complexity Science, Bayesian Inference Theory, and History Help Predict the Next Financial Crisis?

Hidden Forces

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How Do You Make Your Forecasts?

The crisis came to a head in september 19 98, but it started in june 19 97. The central bank of tylan depeged the ti bot from the dollar so they had to peg to the dollar. And people looked at that and said, well, i can borrow dollars and invest in tylan and get a higher return. But most people are not doing that.

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