Mastering Forecasting: Skills and Synergies

This chapter investigates how training and collaboration between domain specialists and skilled forecasters can significantly improve forecasting accuracy across various fields, including economics and AI. It emphasizes the importance of quantifying uncertainties and narrative storytelling in predictions, particularly when addressing critical events like 9/11 and the Iraq War. By reflecting on the limitations and potential of forecasting methods, the chapter highlights the need for comprehensive approaches to enhance decision-making in high-stakes scenarios.