2min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Decision-Making Under Uncertainty and Entrepreneurship (with Miles Lasater)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

Using Monte Carlo Simulation in a Venture Capital Market

A good problem solving strategy is to break it into smaller pieces. And then each of those pieces is much more tractable than the whole problem. So you are making estimates or predictions in, I think it's few dozen areas and then running Monte Carlo analysis inside this Excel model that gives you a sense of what should be your return on investment capital for an individual company.

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