Shashank Joshi: Russia's army is looking very tired. They are attacking along a very broad swath of the front, but they've taken heavy casualties. Over time, this could soften them up in a way that allows Ukraine to mount a pretty successful counter-offensive," he says.
After a year of a conflict that was predicted to last just days, we examine the battle lines—seeing an opportunity for Ukraine that may not come around again. We look at the strains on Russian civil society by speaking with self-exiled citizens. And one Ukrainian woman who returned to Kharkiv tells us how the war has changed her.
For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer