The Intelligence from The Economist A year of war: a Ukraine special
Feb 24, 2023
Shashank Joshi, The Economist's defense editor, dissects the unexpected resilience of Ukraine a year into war. Arkady Ostrovsky, the Russia editor, sheds light on the strain within Russian civil society post-invasion. Ukrainian Kate Buchoslavska shares her poignant journey returning to Kharkiv, revealing the war's deep emotional scars. The discussion captures military strategies, the exodus of educated Russians, and the indomitable spirit of those affected, painting a rich portrait of conflict and its aftermath.
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Current Battlefield Situation
- Russia's offensive has begun, but it's underwhelming due to heavy casualties and ammunition shortages.
- This presents an opportunity for a Ukrainian counter-offensive, but their ability to execute complex operations is uncertain.
Ukraine's Strategic Timing
- Ukraine should wait for Western tanks and more ammunition before launching a counter-offensive.
- The optimal time for a Ukrainian offensive might be early summer.
Western Support for Ukraine
- The West needs to start long-term training of Ukrainian forces now.
- Begin supplying fighter jets now, as these processes take significant time.