i'm one of those few people who find the problem of free will not particularly interesting. I don't even know how one would go about answering that question. Consciousness is another, where i have no idea what it would mean to be something. So i itend to just give up and stay with thing that i have more of a chance to understand. But i know, sa, that's not a popular sentiment. I think at some point we just hit, maybe it's an epistemological wall, we just can't know. We cant. What do you do with that? That?
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.