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Risky Business: Assessing Risk to U.S. Strategy

Net Assessment

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Understanding Military Decision-Making Risks

This chapter analyzes the Department of Defense's approach to risk in military strategy, emphasizing the importance of formal reviews and decision-making practices through case studies like the Iraq War and Operation Neptune Spear. The speakers critique issues such as groupthink and intelligence failures that have influenced significant military actions, ultimately calling for a more systematic evaluation of past mistakes. They highlight the disconnect between departments during crucial operations, particularly during the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and draw historical parallels to underscore the need for improved coordination and lessons learned.

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