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#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)

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CHAPTER

Exploring Futarchy and Prediction Markets

This chapter investigates the concept of futarchy, where policy decisions are informed by prediction markets. The discussion evaluates the reliability of collective forecasts, the balance between expert knowledge and public sentiment, and the challenges of predicting future events. The speakers engage in debates about the effectiveness of prediction markets and the implications of betting on uncertain outcomes, as they contemplate deeper philosophical inquiries for future episodes.

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