Intro

Mit Rüdiger Bachmann und Christan Bayer.

Lage in den USA

Charlie Kirk, Jimmy Kimmel, Luigi Mangione, Antonio Gramsci

Sinkende Geburtenraten

• Villaverde: The Demographic Future of Humanity: Economic Challenges
• Solow-Modell
• Pugsley: Grown-up Business Cycles, Older and slower: The startup deficit’s lasting effects on aggregate productivity growth
• Prognose zur Entwicklung der Weltbevölkerung von 1950 bis 2100
• Bachmann, Bayer: Monopsony Makes Firms Not Only Small but Also Unproductive: Why East Germany Has Not Converged
• Familiensplitting

Friedensdividende

• Militärausgaben von Deutschland von 1953 bis 2024
• Sozialleistungsquote in Deutschland von 1960 bis 2024

Schuldenbremse

• Langer et.al.: Evaluating the Effects of the German Debt Brake: A Synthetic Control Approach
• Born: The lockdown effect: A counterfactual for Sweden, The macroeconomic impact of Trump, The Costs of Economic Nationalism: Evidence from the Brexit Experiment
• Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell

Europäischer Arbeitsmarkt

• Schoefer: Eurosclerosis at 40: Labor Market Institutions, Dynamism, and European Competitiveness
• The Draghi Report on EU competitiveness
• Bachmann, Bayer: Worker churn in the cross section and over time: New evidence from Germany
• Südekum: German Robots – The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers