2min chapter

Dwarkesh Podcast cover image

Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

The Global Leader Board Is a Way of Assessing the Competence of Predictors

The concept of a global leader board becomes less important over time the larger our sight gets. What you as an individual care about is not all the markets that we have on our platform, but the sub set of markets that are of interest to you. It kind of reminds me o hapo story, where they were geting, like, atten twnty dollar bonasester people for signing op and basely meant they got expinancial growth, but they were losing money faster. I guess in this case, si, you're not like, losing real money, but a, i don't know, maybe you're diluting the reputational value that the best people in the

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