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This 100-year-old pattern explains Trump’s victory

Chicago Booth Review Podcast

CHAPTER

Economics and Electoral Dynamics

This chapter explores the link between economic conditions and electoral outcomes, revealing that a strong economy generally favors Republican candidates while a weaker economy tends to support Democrats. It challenges the notion that good economic performance guarantees incumbents' reelection, highlighting how voters rationally respond to their economic situation when making electoral decisions. Utilizing historical examples, the chapter illustrates that economic factors often overshadow other political issues in shaping voter preferences.

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