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Unusual Whales Pod Ep 17: First FOMC of 2023, Powell and disinflation, and the January 25 bps rate hike with experts

Unusual Whales

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Is the Fed Really Communicating Outcome Probabilities in a Way That Influences Financial Conditions?

The Fed has really struggled to communicate outcome probabilities in a way that influence financial conditions. The interest rates we see today reflect partially how much markets just think like, oh, this is going to get better or worse in the near future. And I think especially if you're looking at this from the perspective of trying to price in that risk, it's very difficult right now. Joseph Cirincione: Do you have any comments on what Jim was saying, maybe about the Goldilocks commentary?

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