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Self-Improvement and Behavior Change (with James Norris)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
How to Calculate Your Risk of Dying
For any given risk you take, you can think about how many micromortes are you taking? In other words, how many millions of a chance of dying are youtaking? It's really a hundred. There's a couple of COVID calculators that have come out which try to calculate your actual risk of dying from this sort of thing. Just by pure action, like going to a small group or wearing a mask or not, these models are amazing. They're just really hard to get all models or wrong, some are useful, that famous adage.
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