Becoming a superforecaster, decision science for better human predictions - Pavel Atanasov-the data scientist show#036
Daliana's Game
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Are There Comparisons M Towards That?
Initially, our initial sets of comparison were like ranimised experiments between prediction folts ind prediction market. We found that prediction folls did better to asking people just for th straight up for their probability was better than longer-term questions. However, after we did some twigs with the markets, you know, starv with that market maker and look for to select better forecasters on then we were seeing at po in markets were basicly had to head. By the last year of the tournament, oh, interesting. So er are the pos also conducted on the selected er people or, yes, i den so you have ty nere similar. Are there comparisons m towards that? Yes
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