Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class III Part II [9.1.15]
EdgeCast
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The Problem With Propensities
There is a word that doesn't come up, and that someone feels this. And the word is propensive. So we're talking of systems. And systems have propensities to do things. It's a broader notion in a way that causes effect, it's less. The computer really lies in improving the design of the plane to reduce the propensive.
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