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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class I Part I [8.17.15]

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The Complexity of Political Appointees

Danny Cevallos: "Telling stories is indeed arguably the basis on which analysts are ultimately promoted or ... Also, there's a mistake. Tell us the community would take some... Would be offended a little bit by what you said, Danny" He says forecasting tournament ecosystem requires people who are creative question generators as much as it does people who are skillful at generating accurate probability estimates. 'I think one of the most valuable collaborations that could be facilitated and if this were a partial outcome of this gathering, I would consider it enormously successful'

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