Becoming a superforecaster, decision science for better human predictions - Pavel Atanasov-the data scientist show#036
Daliana's Game
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What Do You Learn From Super Forecasters?
The active ingredient that made the difference were the super forecasters themselves. And whether you put in a team palling settings or a prediction market seating, the results were very similar. So how accurate they were, i didnt didn't change from whether they were in those smaller teams orWhether they were in te large prediction market. But no just in a team setting, but also in a large market setting and a, you know, it's we found things that are true about high performing teams, but they also seem to work in a much larger setting where you have a hundred other people a competing with you.
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