Bayes Theorem - The Probability of the Evidence

The essential idea of Bayes theorem, as I like to think about it, is that it tells you something about your updated probability assignment for a theory or a hypothesis. So if a theory explains the evidence very, very well, um, meaning that the, the probability of the evidence is high, given the hypothesis,. So you still might not be convinced of it. Okay. They're also in the course of working out that proportionality, um, sort of how proportional those things are. You have to think about what other alternative hypotheses are there that it could, could explain the data. And that's another thing that these methods just kind of don't allow for, don't examine.