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Value After Hours S05 E16: Cam Harvey on 10-3 Inversions, Recession Risk, False Signals and the Fed

The Acquirers Podcast

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The Importance of Anchoring With a Short-Term Instrument

In the out of sample period, it is 4 out of 4 with no false signals. The way I'm looking at it... Which makes it 8 for 8 then now? Yeah, so take a bit from the late 1960s. So you can, indeed, this is like another story. Most of the key analysis in my dissertation is over this period from the mid-60s to 1985. In that period, there's four recessions and there's four inversions. And it looks like a4 out of 4 perfect indicator. But my committee is saying, well, that could be lucky. You can get 4 out of 3 or 4 out of 5. That was number one reason

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