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Super Forecasting

The Futurists

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The Importance of Inductive Reasoning in the Development of Expertise

In terms of Regina in terms of that base rate. You know, like how much of that involves you actually learning about the domain to successfully come up with that base rate versus using analogies from other forecasts that you've had. Right. So right now our current research focuses on it's called human forest. It focuses on the area of clinical trial transitions for new drugs which is a really good thing to be investigating right now. Exactly. And, and, and we did it for very temporal reasons we're in the middle of a pandemic. so there's a lot of change happening in the in the traditional rollout of how a drug goes through from developments to approval and to marketing in the

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