On this episode of The Horizon, John Chang interviews economist John Silvia to discuss economic uncertainty, inflation risks, and their implications for real estate investors. Silvia highlights concerning trends, including slowing consumer spending, falling consumer sentiment, and the potential for a negative GDP print in the first quarter. He also analyzes the impact of new tariffs, which could raise inflation and weaken economic growth, leading to a higher risk of recession. The discussion turns to the Federal Reserve's response, with Silvia predicting potential rate cuts despite inflation pressures. The episode closes with a look at investment opportunities in commercial real estate and a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next three years.
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