6min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Presidential Debates Do Matter

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Polling Dynamics and Presidential Debates

This chapter explores the intricate relationship between presidential debates and polling trends, focusing on historical shifts in voter sentiment during key moments, such as the 2016 race and the 2019 Democratic primary. It highlights the challenges pollsters face in capturing authentic public opinion and examines how specific candidates, like Kamala Harris, experienced significant polling changes due to their debate performances.

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