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Prometheus Research: Navigating a Potential 2023 Global Recession

Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast

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The Fed's Tightening Has the Most Impact on Durables, Right?

When we look at the goods economy, they're durable goods and non-durable goods. The Fed's tightening has the most impact on this part of the economy. These parts of the economy tend to be the most levered both in terms of their purchases and their creation. So when people talk about cyclical and acyclical inflation, these are the most cyclically sensitive areas. And so the combination of these things nets out to an inflation trajectory that is not crazy like 2023 but it's also not a good one.

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