Michael, i am going to tell you a story that you probably because this is getting edited right, going to give you an example of yot rhyming. And it's something that happened to me. My late wife, anne treesman, and I went to dinner with a couple,. We come back home, and we're in bed, and we're gossiping. Wo're not talking about our experience, and my wife says, about the and in the couple, he's sexy. O and then the next thing that she says sort of blows my mind, because the next thing thatShe said is, he doesn't undress the maid himself. So one word, sexy,
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.