10min chapter

Odd Lots cover image

Goldman's Jan Hatzius Believes the Hard Part Is Over

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

Alternative Indicators and the Need for a Better Understanding of the Macro Cycle

In this chapter, they discuss how the COVID cycle has broken traditional economic indicators and how people are now looking at alternative indicators like the yield curve and the song rule to predict recessions. They also mention the softening labor market and the question of when the Fed should cut to prevent a downturn. Overall, they emphasize the need for a better understanding of the current macro cycle.

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