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Subadra Rajappa, Head of US Interest Rate Strategy, Societe Generale

Alpha Exchange

CHAPTER

The Inversion of the Al Curve in 20 19 Was a Very Important Signal

The short end of the eel curve inverted a little bit, sort of a telltale signal from the market that the fed may have done too much. And if you look at those corp pofed margins, they typically tend to peat somewhere in the middle of the cycle, and then they start compressing toward the end of the cycle. And that's kind of what we saw. Those with the matrick a we were looking at to make the call for a recession in 20 20.

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