2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Polls Haven't Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is There a Long-Term Democratic Bias in the Polls?

Pollsters, as they're credit, if they're a bunch of noncontroversial races that were really close or blame if actually the races that are not covered as much. If you just looked at the close races, you would think everything's fine with polling. But those polls of noncompetitive races count too methodologically. They're the same.

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