AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast cover image

10 - AI's Future and Impacts with Katja Grace

AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast

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What's the Difference in Probability?

There's this difference n the framing of a whether you're talking about tasks that people might do for money versus old tasks. If you say, when will there be a 50 % chance, that gets the sooner answer than if you say, what is the chance in 20 30 or something. My own guess about this is that people would like to disputlow probabilities on things. And they don't feel an urge to give large numbers of years as answers.

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