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Holden Karnofsky - Transformative AI & Most Important Century
Dwarkesh Podcast
Are We Better at Making Traditions?
I think there has been a lot of progress on what it looks like to make good, reasonable predictions about the future. So I think we should be expecting ourselves to do a bit better than people did in the past and future people probably do better than we do. But I kind of wonder when I look at the report like biological anchors, where there are, you know, azimah, just shooting the shit about screens and what you would do with them.
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