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Regression Candidates, Exuberance-Pessimism, and Problematic Figures: RSP Film and Theory with Adam Harstad and Matt Waldman

Matt Waldman's RSP Cast

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Evaluating Running Back Performance

This chapter explores the nuances of player regression in NFL running backs, focusing on how performance metrics may not always reflect true capabilities due to randomness and external factors. By contrasting simplistic statistical assessments with film-based analysis, it provides insights into the future performance of prominent players like Derrick Henry and rookie talents. Additionally, the discussion highlights the sustainability of averages in yards per carry and the potential impacts of team dynamics and matchups on player projections.

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