The Importance of Identifying Cognitive Bias

Regina, can you tell us a little bit more about cognitive bias. It's like the opposite of the scientific method. And they are very, very difficult to mitigate even when you're aware of them. One of the things I found so striking in both Convin's work and also in Philip Telox book Super Forecasters is about political beliefs or political convictions. What do you think would make a more accurate forecast about a political election than someone who's extremely committed to one party or the other? That's a good question to ask! You know the answerRegina: Yeah, we've published a story in the Washington Post about who got at least wrong. Because everybody got right right all