
Machine Forecasting
The Futurists
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Navigating AI Reasoning and Forecasting
This chapter examines the skepticism surrounding AI reasoning models, specifically critiques of OpenAI's capabilities and the challenges of AI hallucinations. It emphasizes the importance of human judgment in evaluating credible sources and contrasts the methodologies of credible futurists with unsubstantiated claims. The discussion highlights the need for diverse information consumption and the role of AI in enhancing prediction accuracy while acknowledging the limits of both human and AI reasoning.
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