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History Says Recession & Market Correction This Year Are Nearly Unavoidable | Michael Kantrowitz

Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

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The Probability of Recession

The ultimate catalyst for broader markets to go down investors kind of capitulate will be employment. We haven't had these conditions at them since 2007. At no point from after the 0708 recession and up until recently, have we had those three ingredients simultaneously that have produced recessions every time? So we've had scares in 2011, 2015, COVID was more of a public policy health event than a cyclical downturn due to those three conditions. The risk reward of equities here is extremely poor. And so, yeah, you know, we've been cautious on equities for over a year now.

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