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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class II Part II [8.24.15]

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The Impact of Manipulation on Super-Forcasters

Super-forcasters do not regress towards being nearly as much as people who are just below the super-forcasting rank. So they do hold onto their positions quite tenaciously. But did you inform them? Oh, yes, absolutely. And now we have a bunch of people who are... I'm talking about the resumes and the work that I'm doing.

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