The first round of france's presidential election is to morrow, and our first ever series has been examining the race since early february. French voters haven't re elected an incumbent president since the victory of jacques chera two decades asosoneve tetodoalivectewe've got reason to suspect that that pattern will be broken in april's election. According to our freshly released election forecast model, president emmanuel maron, who's expected to throw his hat in the ring any day now, is likely to prevail. That outcome, though, won't be decided in parisian salons or rural vineyards.