28min chapter

Hidden Forces cover image

What the Bond Sell-off Means for Investors | Andy Constan & Mike Green

Hidden Forces

CHAPTER

The Challenging Environment of Forecasting Economic Activity

In this chapter, they discuss the challenging environment of forecasting economic activity, interest rates, and inflation. They mention their previous event in New York where they made the case that the Fed had already overtightened. They discuss the effect of short-term floating rate borrowing and compare the current situation to the 2004-2008 period of hiking rates. They also talk about unexpected events such as the ERC fraud and the sharp fall in oil prices. They question whether the tightening has reached a point of no escape and if it will lead to a hard stop instead of just a slowdown.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode