19min chapter

Learning Bayesian Statistics cover image

#115 Using Time Series to Estimate Uncertainty, with Nate Haines

Learning Bayesian Statistics

CHAPTER

Navigating Forecasting in Insurance Modeling

This chapter examines the impact of external factors on forecasting models in the insurance industry, particularly during crises like COVID-19. It discusses the relationship between economic conditions and insurance claims, the implications for policy structures, and introduces methodologies for improving program-level models. Additionally, the chapter emphasizes the importance of evaluating modeling metrics, advocating for a multifaceted approach to performance assessment.

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