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4min chapter
Du jeu à la manœuvre : la "révolution cognitive" des Armées
Le Collimateur
L'intelligence collective et les marchés prédictifs
Ce chapitre examine comment les marchés prédictifs peuvent améliorer la précision des estimations grâce à la somme des opinions individuelles. Il met en lumière des expériences démontrant que les décisions de groupe peuvent dépasser celles des experts isolés, et explique le fonctionnement des plateformes de marchés prédictifs.
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