Analyzing Data and Theories on Trump's Election Forecast Model

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This chapter dives into the accountability of individuals like Hunter Biden and Donald Trump, reviewing The Economist's statistical forecast model giving Trump a 60% chance of returning to the White House. It discusses various theories behind Trump's rise in the forecast model, the stability of polling in the US election, and the reliability of the statistical model used for election forecasting based on historical patterns and recent data from the 2020 election rematch.

We have dusted off and tuned up our forecast model for America’s presidential race. So far it gives Donald Trump a marginally higher chance of a second term. There is at last progress on not one but two vaccines to beat malaria (9:02). And a look at the “tradwives” of TikTok: passionate homemakers who prefer the gender roles of the past (15:10).

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