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16min chapter
[HUMAN VOICE] "AI Timelines" by habryka, Daniel Kokotajlo, Ajeya Cotra, Ege Erdil
LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
Differing Perspectives on AI Timelines and Milestones
This chapter explores the disagreements between speakers regarding AI forecasts, the timeline for transformative AI, and the potential effect of transfer learning on accelerating AI development. They also discuss concrete AGI milestones that would cause them to update their timelines.
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