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#140 Classic episode – Bear Braumoeller on the case that war isn’t in decline

80,000 Hours Podcast

CHAPTER

War Trends: Escalation and Complexity

This chapter examines the historical trends in the escalation of war since 1815, revealing frustrations over the lack of evidence for a decline in violence. It contrasts differing scholarly views on war lethality and discusses the complexities involved in measuring warfare dynamics, particularly in the post-World War II context. Ultimately, it highlights the challenges of interpreting conflict data and the implications for understanding future risks related to warfare.

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