17min chapter

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis cover image

Surveying 2,700+ AI Researchers on the Industry's Future with Katja Grace of AI Impacts

"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis

CHAPTER

Analyzing Future Milestones Disagreement Among AI Researchers

The chapter delves into the concept of disagreement among AI researchers regarding future milestones, highlighting how individual predictions reflect uncertainty. It discusses trends in timelines for events like full automation of labor, noting shifts in expectations and shorter predicted timelines. The conversation also explores the challenges and differences in delegating tasks to AI systems compared to humans, examining the balance between human input and AI autonomy.

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