Farsighted

In 'Farsighted', Steven Johnson delves into the process of making significant, long-term decisions.

He uses a case-study approach, drawing examples from diverse fields such as the 2011 raid on Osama bin Laden's compound, urban planning decisions in New York City, and literary depictions in novels like George Eliot's 'Middlemarch'.

Johnson emphasizes the importance of deliberative thinking, mapping variables, predicting outcomes, and using techniques like scenario planning and ensemble simulations to make informed decisions.

The book highlights the need for a future-oriented approach and the ability to consider multiple options creatively, avoiding cognitive biases and intuitive errors.